Creating Investment Solutions: We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond matured on 3rd October 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.156% over 1.5 years — equivalent to 10.104% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past four years, our 45 maturities have generated a total gross return of €33 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.25% over an average term of 22 months. Creating Investment Solutions: We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond matured on 3rd October 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.156% over 1.5 years — equivalent to 10.104% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past four years, our 45 maturities have generated a total gross return of €33 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.25% over an average term of 22 months.
Creating Investment Solutions: We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond matured on 3rd October 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.156% over 1.5 years — equivalent to 10.104% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past four years, our 45 maturities have generated a total gross return of €33 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.25% over an average term of 22 months. Creating Investment Solutions: We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond matured on 3rd October 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.156% over 1.5 years — equivalent to 10.104% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past four years, our 45 maturities have generated a total gross return of €33 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.25% over an average term of 22 months.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 22nd September 2025

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006,664.36+0.96%+13.31%
NASDAQ22,631.48+1.73%+17.20%
EuroStoxx505,458.42+0.86%+11.49%
EuroStoxx600554.12-0.31%+9.16%
FTSE 1009,216.67-0.73%+12.77%
ISEQ11,176.65-2.60%+14.55%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED4.25%-0.25
ECB2.15%0
BOE4.00%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.13+1.95%-9.47%
US 2YR3.58+0.67%-15.45%
German 10YR2.748+1.30%+16.36%
UK 10YR4.71+1.27%+3.24%
Irish 10YR2.97+0.54%+13.03%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.1744+0.13%+13.41%
EUR/GBP0.8716+0.73%+5.37%
GBP/USD1.3466-0.62%+7.58%

Key Events

  • 23/09/2025 – UK Manufacturing & Services PMI’s
  • 26/09/2025 – US PCE Price Inflation
Financial Insight of the Week
In our latest Seaspray Private Financial video insight, Cathal Slevin discusses a key part of successful long-term investing- accepting market risk and understanding the possibility of short-term losses when markets turn volatile……April 2025 was a powerful reminder of this principle.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

The Federal Reserve, a key target of the current US administration, cut interest rates for the first time in almost a year last week, lowering the benchmark rate to 4.25%. The decision had been widely anticipated by financial markets in the weeks leading up to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with attention instead focused on the comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell stated that the 0.25bps cut came against the backdrop of a weakening labour market, with job growth slowing considerably in recent months. He described the move as a “risk management cut”, but the “dot plot” — which illustrates each member’s projection for the midpoint of US interest rates — suggests that further cuts are likely. Following the September meeting, 12 of the 19 FOMC members indicated that they expect at least one, if not two, additional rate cuts before the end of 2025.

Europe & UK

In Europe, while much attention was focused on the UK–US trade relationship, the EU reached a trade agreement with Indonesia, with the official signing scheduled for the 23rd September. The EU is Indonesia’s fifth-largest trading partner, with the country’s population standing at around 300 million. Trade between the two reached $30 billion in 2024. Under the terms of the deal, Indonesia will lower tariffs on EU industrial and agricultural exports, while the EU will remove tariffs on 80% of Indonesian commodity exports within two years of the deal’s implementation.

In the UK, the Bank of England (BoE) held interest rates at 4.00%, as widely expected by markets. The Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) decision came as UK inflation held steady at 3.8%, reinforcing the BoE’s case for pausing rate changes. While this figure remains the highest since January 2024, it was largely driven by slower services inflation (4.7% vs 5.0% in July), offset by an acceleration in food and drink inflation to 5.1%, up from 4.9% in July. The BoE estimates that inflation could peak at 4% in September, with rising food prices expected to be the main driver. In terms of interest rate cuts, the MPC will meet two more times this year to discuss rates, with the Bank stating that any further cuts would depend on whether it sees evidence that price pressures were easing.

Ireland

The Central Bank of Ireland (CBI) released its Quarterly Bulletin for the third quarter of 2025 last week, with key headline figures showing Modified Domestic Demand revised upward to 2.9% for 2025, while Gross National Income is projected to grow by 2.5% between 2025 and 2027. The bulletin notes the impact of tariffs and warns that higher tariffs or a shift in US policy could reduce foreign direct investment (FDI) into Ireland. On inflation, the CBI estimates an average rate of 1.8% in 2025, declining to 1.4% between 2026 and 2027. Finally, the Bank highlights that public finances remain relatively healthy, supported by increased public spending under the National Development Plan. However, it cautions about Ireland’s continued overreliance on corporation tax receipts.

Asia-Pacific

China last week banned domestic tech companies from purchasing chips from NVIDIA, as part of its efforts to strengthen its domestic technology industry. The move comes as China seeks to triple its total output of AI processors in 2026, aiming to compete directly with the US for global dominance in the sector.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, equity markets rose in anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which was announced on Wednesday. The decision to lower interest rates by 25 basis points had been priced in by financial markets for some time and was further reinforced by recent US inflation and Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Despite being widely expected, futures markets responded positively to the announcement, with investors now anticipating the possibility of two additional rate cuts before the end of 2025. A key policy development last week was President Trump’s renewed push to end quarterly earnings calls for publicly traded companies, instead proposing that they report results every six months. The President previously attempted this reform in 2018 without success; however, this time the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has prioritised the proposal and expressed its support. If implemented, this change would align the US with jurisdictions such as the UK and several EU member states, where companies report semi-annually. The proposal has gained support from a broad range of stakeholders, including US company directors and international investors, who argue that less frequent reporting could encourage more sustainable corporate practices and reduce short-term pressures that influence operational decisions. In corporate news, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) announced plans to invest $30 billion in the US over the next five years, particularly in research and development. GSK’s US operations accounted for half of its revenues in 2024, and the investment is expected to strengthen integration between its UK and US facilities. Finally, the World Trade Organization (WTO) reported that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could increase the value of global trade by up to 40% by 2040, driven by lower trade costs and productivity gains. The WTO also projected that global GDP could rise by 12–13% over the same period as a result of AI adoption. For the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed 0.96% and 1.73% higher, respectively.

In Europe, markets were mixed last week as investors turned bearish ahead of key interest rate decisions in the US and UK, as well as broader expectations for the global interest rate outlook. However, following the announcements on Wednesday evening, European shares rebounded on Thursday morning, with the Eurostoxx 50 rising 0.7% and the STOXX 600 gaining 0.5%. Financials were among the key laggards early in the week, as expectations of a lower-rate environment weighed on bank earnings prospects. These losses were reversed on Thursday, with Banco Santander leading the rally, supported by strong performances from technology groups SAP and ASML. In corporate developments, Mars — the group behind brands such as M&M’s, Twix, and Uncle Ben’s — committed to investing €1 billion in its European operations by the end of next year, citing slower growth in the US and an imbalance of sales between the US and Europe. Mars is also in the process of acquiring Kellanova for $35.9 billion, a deal that remains subject to EU regulatory approval. Elsewhere, Roche, the Swiss-based pharmaceutical company, announced an agreement to acquire 89bio, a Nasdaq-listed biopharmaceutical firm developing treatments to counteract liver cell damage, a complication often associated with obesity. The deal, valued at up to $3.5 billion, marks Roche’s first acquisition since the US imposed 39% tariffs on Switzerland, though pharmaceuticals were exempt. For the week, the Eurostoxx 50 closed 0.86% higher, while the broader STOXX 600 closed lower, down 0.31%.

In the UK, the FTSE 100 fell last week as concerns over the domestic economy overshadowed broader market optimism. Key developments affecting the index included President Trump’s state visit to the UK, the Federal Reserve’s rate cut, and the Bank of England’s decision to hold rates steady. During President Trump’s visit, the UK and US announced a new technology agreement, known as the “Tech Prosperity Deal”. Under the agreement, NVIDIA will deploy 120,000 chips across the UK, including 60,000 of its most advanced Blackwell chips. In addition, Microsoft committed to investing £22 billion in cloud and AI services, while Google pledged £5 billion. For the week, the FTSE 100 closed 0.73% lower.

Bonds

Global bond yields fluctuated last week, driven by the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and, more importantly, the revised outlook for US interest rates. The US 10-year Treasury yield neared 4% after Wednesday’s announcement but recovered to 4.13%, as investors responded to Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious tone and reduced their 2026 rate cut expectations from two or three to just one. In the UK, the 10-year Gilt yield edged higher to 4.71%, after the Bank of England held rates ta 4.00% and chair Andrew Bailey struck a cautious tone on future cuts.

Commodities

In oil markets, brent crude prices briefly climbed above $68.50 a barrel last week before retreating to $66. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cut should support increased economic output, a weakening labour market could weigh on oil demand. The International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that the global oil sector has spent nearly $500 billion annually simply to maintain current production levels and offset natural declines in existing fields. The IEA also noted that global oil and gas fields are depleting faster than previously estimated and forecast that, by 2030, renewable energy will account for half of global electricity generation. For the week, Brent crude settled at $66.63 a barrel, while WTI closed at $62.72. In metals, gold prices surged to new all-time highs on Wednesday, reaching over $3,700 an ounce after the Federal Reserve’s 0.25 bps rate cut. The US dollar also fell to a two-month low, making the non-yielding asset relatively more attractive to buyers.

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