Seaspray Private Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook is now available to read and download for free! Seaspray Private Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook is now available to read and download for free!
Seaspray Private Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook is now available to read and download for free! Seaspray Private Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook is now available to read and download for free!

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 21st July 2025

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006,296.79+0.92%+7.06%
NASDAQ20,895.66+1.93%+8.21%
EuroStoxx505,359.23+0.11%+9.46%
EuroStoxx600547.00+0.20%+7.76%
FTSE 1008,992.12+0.12%+10.02%
ISEQ11,143.28-1.08%+14.20%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED4.50%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE4.25%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.43+0.18%-3.08%
US 2YR3.87-1.00%-8.53%
German 10YR2.6910+0.19%+13.93%
UK 10YR4.67+0.93%+2.34%
Irish 10YR2.93-2.78%+11.48%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.1625-0.39%+12.26%
EUR/GBP0.8667+0.22%+4.78%
GBP/USD1.3404-0.56%+7.09%

Key Events

  • 22/07/2025 – Earnings – SAP, Coca Cola
  • 23/07/2025 – Earnings – Alphabet, Tesla, McDonald
  • 24/07/2025 – Earnings – Mastercard, Blackstone
  • 24/07/2025 – ECB Rate Decision
Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook - Seaspray Private
Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook
In our Seaspray Private Q2 2025 Investment Review & Outlook we highlight key themes that include sustained momentum in artificial intelligence, clean technology and shifting capital towards European equities. Our key message for this outlook, as always, is for investors to stay the course, exercise patience, and hold true to your long-term investment goals and objectives.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

In the US, June inflation data revealed an acceleration in the annual rate to 2.7%, up from 2.4% in May and above expectations of 2.6%. The increase may indicate that tariffs are beginning to impact consumer prices earlier than anticipated. Previously, tariff-related inflation was expected to surface in mid to late summer. Food prices were the primary contributor, rising 3% compared to 2.9% in May. Although energy prices continued to decline, the pace slowed to -0.8% in June from -3.5% the previous month. The data supports the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance as it waits to assess the full economic impact of tariffs before initiating a rate cut. Despite the higher inflation reading, traders still anticipate two rate cuts before year-end, with a first quarter point cut potentially coming in September.

Europe & UK

Across Europe, the European Commission is preparing to impose tariffs on US goods such as Boeing aircraft, US-made cars, and bourbon, with €72 billion worth of US imports under consideration. While negotiations are ongoing, Maroš Šefčovič, the EU’s chief negotiator, stated last Monday that a significant gap remains between both sides. The EU is also postponing a separate €21 billion tariff package until 6 August to allow additional time for talks.

In the UK, the FTSE 100—the country’s leading equity index—reached a historic milestone last week, surpassing 9,000 for the first time in its 41-year history. The index has risen nearly 10% so far in 2025, driven by increased defence spending, which has benefited firms such as Rolls-Royce and BAE Systems, as well as a surge in commodity prices that has propelled mining stocks like Fresnillo to new highs.

Ireland

Dalata Hotel Group, one of the largest indigenous hotel chains in Ireland, has agreed to a €1.4 billion takeover deal by Scandinavian property companies Pandox and Eiendomsspar. Under the terms of the agreement, shareholders will receive €6.45 in cash per share—above the company’s current share price. The Dalata Group comprises 55 Maldron and Clayton hotels across Ireland and the UK, with plans to expand further into Europe.

Elsewhere, AIB has launched its first digital investment advice tool for customers, in response to the growing popularity of Revolut and its suite of investment services.

Asia-Pacific

China’s economy expanded by 5.2% in the second quarter of 2025, with growing exports to countries outside the US offsetting weaker domestic demand. The figure exceeded market expectations of 5.1%, keeping the country on course to achieve its full-year GDP growth target of 5%. Retail sales rose by 4%—down from 6.4% in May and marking the lowest rate since February. However, exports in dollar terms grew by 5.8% in June and averaged 6.2% growth over the second quarter.

In Taiwan, Taiwan Semiconductor Company (TSMC) —the world’s largest semiconductor foundry—posted strong earnings last week, with revenues rising by 39% due to sustained demand for AI and high-end computing chips.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the US, equity markets were largely steady last week. In corporate developments, NVIDIA—having recently surpassed $4 trillion in market capitalisation—announced it would begin selling its H20 semiconductor chips to China once again. This decision follows a White House reversal on its earlier move to halt the sale of certain advanced chips to China. The H20 chip was specifically designed to comply with US export regulations regarding chip quality for the Chinese market. Elsewhere, Google has agreed a $3 billion deal with Brookfield that will give the tech giant access to hydroelectric power, helping to meet its surging energy demands. The agreement includes two 20-year power purchase plans—the longest of their kind for hydropower—which could provide Google with access to up to 3 gigawatts of renewable energy over the period. Brookfield continues to bet on renewables as a long-term energy source, having acquired National Grid’s onshore renewables business in the US for $1.7 billion in February. Apollo, one of Wall Street’s largest investment firms, is reportedly in talks to acquire a stake in Atlético Madrid, the third-largest football club in Spain. Earnings also returned to focus last week, with the first major US corporate results primarily from the financial sector. JPMorgan Chase, the largest US bank by assets, was among the key names reporting. It posted revenues of $44.9 billion and profits of $15 billion—17% lower than the same period in 2024. However, this decline was due to an $8 billion windfall received last year from its stake in Visa. Excluding that one-off item, the results were strong: trading revenues rose 15% to $8.9 billion, while investment banking fees increased 7% to $2.5 billion. Alongside JPMorgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley also reported positive earnings, with fees from equity, fixed income, commodities, and currency trading outperforming and in some cases reaching all-time highs. Investor sentiment towards US tech stocks remained bullish, with allocations to the sector increasing at the fastest pace in 16 years. Between April and June, inflows surged by the largest amount since March 2009. For the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed 0.92% and 1.93% higher respectively.

In Europe, equity markets rose last week, even as uncertainty persisted over the potential 30% tariffs recently announced by President Trump. The proposed levy represents a 10 percentage point increase on the original tariffs imposed on the EU during “Liberation Day”. Corporate earnings season also began in Europe, with ASML’s results drawing significant attention due to the company’s heavy weighting in the Eurostoxx 50 index. The Dutch-based chipmaker reported a positive quarter, but declined to forecast growth for 2026, citing geopolitical uncertainty and tariff-related headwinds. Shares dropped over 6% on Wednesday in response. ABB, the Swiss engineering group, reported its highest-ever quarterly order intake, fuelled by strong demand for products used in US data centres. For the week, the Eurostoxx 50 and STOXX 600 closed 0.11% and 0.20% higher respectively.

In the UK, the FTSE 100 briefly passed the 9,000 mark last week, reaching an all-time high, supported by strength in heavyweight commodity and defence stocks. On the economic front, inflation rose to 3.6% in June, while retail sales posted a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, significantly ahead of market expectations of just 0.2%. For the week, the FTSE 100 closed slightly higher, up 0.12% despite the higher inflation print for June.

Bonds

Global bond yields edged slightly higher last week, as inflation data and geopolitical developments exerted upward pressure on markets. In the US, the 10-year yield rose to a high of 4.49% on Tuesday, up from 4.42% on Monday. The announcement by President Trump of 30% tariffs on EU goods—due to take effect on 1 August—added to inflationary concerns and drove yields higher. However, the June inflation reading of 2.7%, while above May’s figure and ahead of expectations did not unsettle markets. As a result, yields eased slightly on Tuesday evening. The consensus outlook now anticipates a 25 basis point cut in September, although July’s inflation data is expected to play a key role in shaping that decision. In the UK, the 10-year Gilt also moved modestly higher following a stronger-than-expected inflation print. Inflation rose to 3.6% in June—the highest rate since January 2024. The main driver was transport costs, which rose by 1.7% in June compared to 0.7% in May.

Commodities

Crude oil prices moved lower last week, after briefly rising above $70 per barrel on Monday. The decline came as markets first reassessed the likelihood of US tariffs on Russian oil exports, and later weighed the broader economic impact of US tariff policies on global demand. Additional downward pressure came from a rise in stockpiles at the Cushing storage hub in Oklahoma, as well as OPEC+ plans to increase output later in 2025, which raised concerns about oversupply. Brent crude closed the week at $69.21, while WTI settled at $67.30. In metals, gold prices declined to $3,349 per ounce, as the US dollar gained ground as President Trump walked back on media reports that he intended to dismiss Fed chair Jerome Powell. Mixed US economic data also contributed to the downward pressure on gold.

MORE INSIGHTS