Episode 12 of the Seaspray Private Podcast series ‘Making Waves’ – 2025 Q3 Investment Review & Outlook – is now available to watch or listen to on all major social media platforms. In this episode, we share timely investment strategies and insights to help you navigate the current market uncertainty. Click here for further details. Episode 12 of the Seaspray Private Podcast series ‘Making Waves’ – 2025 Q3 Investment Review & Outlook – is now available to watch or listen to on all major social media platforms. In this episode, we share timely investment strategies and insights to help you navigate the current market uncertainty. Click here for further details.
Episode 12 of the Seaspray Private Podcast series ‘Making Waves’ – 2025 Q3 Investment Review & Outlook – is now available to watch or listen to on all major social media platforms. In this episode, we share timely investment strategies and insights to help you navigate the current market uncertainty. Click here for further details. Episode 12 of the Seaspray Private Podcast series ‘Making Waves’ – 2025 Q3 Investment Review & Outlook – is now available to watch or listen to on all major social media platforms. In this episode, we share timely investment strategies and insights to help you navigate the current market uncertainty. Click here for further details.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 20th October 2025

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006,664.01+0.44%+13.30%
NASDAQ22,679.98+0.46%+17.45%
EuroStoxx505,607.39+0.54%+14.53%
EuroStoxx600566.24-0.08%+11.55%
FTSE 1009,354.57-0.99%+14.46%
ISEQ11,438.22-1.49%+17.23%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED4.25%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE4.00%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.00-1.04%-12.31%
US 2YR3.46-1.65%-18.23%
German 10YR2.578-2.11%+9.16%
UK 10YR4.53-3.02%-0.74%
Irish 10YR2.83-2.38%+7.49%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.1651+0.36%+12.52%
EUR/GBP0.8677-0.17%+4.90%
GBP/USD1.3424+0.63%+7.25%

Key Events

  • 21/10/2025 – Earnings – Netflix, Coca-Cola, GE Aerospace
  • 22/10/2025- Earnings – Tesla, SAP
Seaspray Making Waves Podcast EP 12
In Episode 12 of the Seaspray Making Waves Podcast series, Danny O’Leary and Paul McGowan take a brief look back at the key financial market highlights from Q3, before exploring what lies ahead for the remainder of 2025 and beyond — both in Ireland and across global markets. The episode delves into the main factors influencing economic growth, including political uncertainty, tariff challenges, and shifting monetary policies. Listeners will hear insights on the fundamentals shaping investor sentiment. The discussion also spotlights emerging investment themes such as renewables, AI innovation, and sustainability, highlighting opportunities for diversification and long-term growth. With a focus on patience and time in the market, this episode offers a balanced and forward-looking perspective for investors navigating an uncertain global landscape.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

The IMF has unveiled its World Economic Outlook for October 2025 — its final report of the year. In relation to the United States, the think tank estimates that the world’s largest economy will grow by 2% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026. These figures are in line with the July estimates and represent an improvement on the April outlook, which was affected by the tariff announcements. The revised outlook has also been boosted by the passing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which will lead to a significant increase in fiscal spending, as well as the projection for an easing of monetary policy in 2026. Meanwhile, the current government shutdown has entered its third full week, and its impact is now being felt at US airports. Air traffic controllers are classified as essential workers; however, due to the freeze on federal government funding, they are no longer being paid. This has resulted in many not reporting for duty.

Europe & UK

In Europe, the political crisis in France eased somewhat last week after Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, who had resigned before being reappointed by President Macron, pledged to freeze the pension reforms until 2027. These reforms, championed by President Macron, would have raised the retirement age from 62 to 64 and had been one of the key issues underlying the current crisis. While there is hope that Lecornu can now secure parliamentary support for the 2026 Budget, additional savings will be needed to ensure the deficit remains below 5% of national output. The decision to freeze the pension reform is expected to cost more than €2bn.

In the UK, a cloud-based start-up backed by NVIDIA has agreed a deal with Microsoft worth up to $14 billion. Nscale will deploy 104,000 NVIDIA chips for Microsoft at a facility in Texas within the next 18 months. Nscale has raised $1.5 billion in the past month alone, bringing its total funding to $3 billion, with an Initial Public Offering planned as early as 2026.

Ireland

Ryanair has taken delivery of five new Boeing 737 aircraft so far in October. In total, the low-cost airline has acquired 32 Boeing 737s in 2025, at a cost of approximately €2.7 billion. According to Chief Executive Michael O’Leary, the airline plans to increase its passenger numbers from 206mn in 2025 to 215mn by 2027. Interestingly, Boeing’s 737 recently lost its decades-old title as the most delivered jetliner in history, after Airbus delivered its 12,260th A320. Elsewhere, 42% of Ireland’s electricity generation in September came from renewable energy sources.

Asia-Pacific

In China, September’s inflation data showed the rate of inflation slowing by 0.3%, marking the second consecutive month of deflationary pressure. However, this was 0.1% lower than the August figure. Food prices contracted at their fastest pace since January 2024, driven by increased supply ahead of the Golden Week holidays and continued weak demand. The trade surplus also narrowed slightly in September to $90.45 billion, though it remained higher than in September 2024. Exports grew by 8.3% year on year, exceeding forecasts of 6% and almost doubling the August growth rate of 4.4%. This represents the fastest pace of export growth since March and highlights how Chinese companies are continuing to expand into markets outside the United States, as trade tensions between the two superpowers persist. Exports to the US fell by 27% year on year, while imports declined by 16.1%.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, it was a mixed week for the equity market. While the start of the Q3 earnings season brought another round of strong results from some of the US’ largest financial institutions, volatility remained elevated as markets continued to react to ongoing tensions between the US and China. Treasury Secretary Bessent’s comments on Monday further heightened tensions, despite President Trump’s attempts to downplay the impact of the latest escalation. Markets also reacted to earnings from regional US banks, in particular Western Alliance and Zions Bank, after both declared they had been exposed to alleged fraud by borrowers. This pulled both US and wider markets lower on Friday morning, however the reaction was extreme when considering the exposures accounted for roughly 1.4% of banks tangible common equity. In corporate developments, there were further major deals in the artificial intelligence sector. OpenAI extended its deal-making spree by agreeing to purchase 10 gigawatts of semiconductors from Broadcom. This means OpenAI now has agreements with the three largest chipmakers in the world, having previously signed deals with NVIDIA and AMD. However, the agreement with Broadcom is particularly significant because it is the first time OpenAI will use chips that it has co-designed with a supplier. In its previous deals with NVIDIA and AMD, the company used standardised “merchant silicon” — general-purpose chips available to any customer. In contrast, the Broadcom agreement involves “custom silicon”, allowing OpenAI to train its models on chips designed specifically to its own specifications. Notably, unlike the NVIDIA deal, the Broadcom agreement does not include any provision for an equity purchase in OpenAI. Overall, OpenAI has now signed agreements worth around $1.5 trillion, representing computing capacity equivalent to 26 nuclear reactors. Meanwhile, Google announced plans to invest $15 billion in AI data centre development in India over the next five years. This will be the company’s largest investment in the country to date. The facility, with a capacity of 1 gigawatt, will become Google’s largest AI hub outside the US. Finally, a consortium led by asset manager BlackRock has agreed a $40 billion takeover of Aligned Data Centres, one of the world’s largest data centre operators. Earnings season also returned last week, beginning with the financial sector. JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi and Morgan Stanley all reported strong Q3 results, supported by increased merger and acquisition activity and continued momentum in investment banking and equity trading. JP Morgan’s profits rose by 12%, Goldman Sachs reported a 37% increase, Citi’s profits grew by 16%, and Morgan Stanley saw a surge of 45%. For the week, despite the volatility on Friday, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed higher, up 0.44% and 0.46% respectively.

In Europe, equity markets rebounded last week, supported by positive corporate earnings — particularly from LVMH and ASML on Wednesday — which lifted other luxury brands such as Hermès and Kering. Markets also drew strength from French assets, which stabilised after Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu made key concessions to secure passage of the 2026 Budget. LVMH, one of Europe’s largest companies and the world’s leading luxury goods producer, reported positive Q3 earnings, with organic sales growth rising by 1%. This marks a turnaround in fortunes for the French-owned conglomerate after two consecutive quarters of declining sales. The main boost came from increased demand in its most important market — mainland China — alongside growth in the US. ASML, meanwhile, focused on its 2026 guidance after missing analyst expectations on Q3 net sales. Despite this, sales still reached €5.4 billion, supported by continued demand linked to artificial intelligence. While the company anticipates a decline in semiconductor equipment sales to China, it does not expect overall 2026 sales to fall below 2025 levels and plans to provide further guidance in January. For the week, the Eurostoxx50 closed 0.54% higher, while the broader STOXX600 edged -0.08%, due to the pullback on Friday.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 traded largely sideways last week, weighed down by its lack of exposure to the technology and luxury goods sectors. While positive results from ASML and LVMH supported equity indices elsewhere in Europe, this did not translate to the UK, as its heavyweight constituents are concentrated in other industries. One notable corporate development was the announcement that Ming Yang, one of China’s largest wind turbine manufacturers, will invest £1.5 billion in a new factory in Scotland. In economics, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in August, in line with market expectations and a improvement on the 0.1% contraction recorded in July. The FTSE closed -0.99% for the week.

Bonds

Global bond yields declined last week, albeit for different reasons across regions. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield hovered at 4%, as the escalation of trade tensions with China, the ongoing government shutdown and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell all put downward pressure on yields. Speaking at the National Association for Business Economics, Powell cited signs of a weakening labour market, even as he noted the economy was on a “somewhat firmer trajectory.” In Europe, French 10-year yields fell to 3.34% — their lowest level since August — as the political crisis in France eased and market sentiment improved. Meanwhile, in the UK, the 10-year gilt yield retreated to 4.53% as markets began pricing in earlier-than-expected interest rate cuts following softer economic data.

Commodities

In oil markets, Brent crude prices remained muted, trading just above $62 a barrel. Prices did recover slightly from President Trump’s announcement that India had pledged to halt Russian oil purchases. For the week, Brent crude closed at $61.29, while WTI settled at $57.54. In metals, gold extended its remarkable rally, reaching a new record high of $4,232 on Thursday. Silver prices also climbed to all-time highs of $53 per ounce last week. Demand for silver has been so strong that physical stocks of the metal on the London Metal Exchange are now at historic lows. This has led traders to take the unusual step of flying silver from the COMEX in New York in the cargo holds of planes — a practice typically reserved for gold.

MORE INSIGHTS