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Seaspray Private Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook – Navigating Geopolitics and Market Volatility is now available to read and download for free. Click here to view the document Seaspray Private Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook – Navigating Geopolitics and Market Volatility is now available to read and download for free. Click here to view the document.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 18th May 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5007,408.50+0.03%+8.22%
NASDAQ26,225.15+0.09%+12.84%
EuroStoxx505,827.76-1.35%+0.63%
EuroStoxx600606.92-0.95%+2.49%
FTSE 10010,195.37-0.89%+2.66%
ISEQ12,397.73-2.53%-5.36%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED3.75%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE3.75%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.59+5.44%+9.58%
US 2YR5.17+4.89%+17.38%
German 10YR3.18+5.94%+9.53%
UK 10YR5.17+4.52%+14.03%
Irish 10YR3.38+5.24%+10.20%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.164-0.94%-0.89%
EUR/GBP0.870+0.58%-0.13%
GBP/USD1.336-1.47%-0.77%

Key Events

  • 20/05/2026 – UK Inflation Data
  • 20/05/2026 – US FOMC Minutes
Europe’s Semiconductor Winners and Nokia’s resurgence
In our most recent Seaspray Private Financial Data Insight we examine some of the companies in Europe who have benefited from increased demand for semiconductors and other equipment essential to the AI buildout. We then focus on Nokia, who have witnessed a resurgence in recent years on the back of AI, showcasing the opportunities that new technologies can have for legacy brands.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

Inflation data for April was released last week, with the annual rate accelerating to 3.8%, the highest level since May 2023. This was above both the March figure of 3.3% and market expectations of 3.7%. As expected, energy prices were the primary driver behind the acceleration in consumer prices. Energy costs surged by 17.9% year-on-year, compared with March’s increase of 12.5%. Gasoline and fuel oil recorded particularly sharp increases, with prices rising by 28.4% and 54.3% respectively on an annual basis.

Elsewhere, one of the other major developments was the meeting between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Accompanying the US delegation were several senior executives from leading American technology and manufacturing companies, including NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang and Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg. For Boeing in particular, there are hopes that discussions could lead to an agreement with China regarding the purchase of Boeing aircraft, as the country continues to expand its aviation fleet. From China’s perspective, priorities included the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the continuation of the trade truce agreed last October.

Europe & UK

In Europe, member states have agreed to increase the production and stockpiling of medicines in an effort to avoid a repeat of the shortages experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic. Currently, there are approximately 300 medicines on the EU list of critical drugs, including paracetamol and morphine. These medicines require active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) for production; however, Europe currently manufactures only around a quarter of these ingredients domestically, importing the remainder from countries such as China and India. The Critical Medicines Act aims to reduce drug shortages and decrease Europe’s reliance on foreign suppliers for key pharmaceutical components.

In the UK, Revolut received approval from UK regulators last week to begin offering more complex financial products to customers, particularly higher-net-worth individuals. The ruling from the Financial Conduct Authority allows the company to expand into leveraged products, private wealth services, and managed portfolio solutions.

Ireland

The National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) raised €2 billion through the sale of its 17-year Green Bond. These bonds are specifically used to fund projects that deliver environmental benefits. The bond was issued with a yield of 3.642% and will mature in October 2043. Demand for the issuance was particularly strong, attracting more than €35 billion in orders from 235 individual accounts. Following this sale, the NTMA has now raised almost 70% of its targeted bond funding range for 2026, with the agency aiming to raise between €10 billion and €14 billion over the course of the year.

Asia-Pacific

Demand for Asian equities continues to surge, as the region benefits from increased exposure to AI and semiconductor-related industries. Morgan Stanley reported last week that weekly purchases of stocks in South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan reached their highest level in a decade.

Emerging markets have also been among the best-performing equity markets thus far in 2026. The Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF — one of the key exchange-traded funds tracking Asian and emerging market equities — is up 10% year-to-date, almost 2% ahead of the S&P 500. At a country level, South Korea’s KOSPI Index has risen by 81% year-to-date, while Taiwan’s SE Index has gained 44% year-to-date.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, equity markets rose last week, reaching fresh highs on the back of technology gains despite elevated oil prices and higher-than-expected inflation data. Shares in NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, and Alphabet were among the key outperformers, as senior executives from major technology companies travelled to China to discuss potential trade agreements. The gains in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ came despite oil prices remaining above $100 per barrel. US inflation for April came in at 3.8% on Tuesday, which temporarily weighed on markets during the session. Uncertainty over the conflict in Iran pulled markets lower on Friday, reversing most of the weeks gains and, by the end of the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ had closed just above the flatline, up 0.03% and 0.09% respectively.

In corporate developments, GameStop — once on the verge of bankruptcy before becoming central to the “meme stock” phenomenon — reportedly offered to acquire the online retailer eBay for $55.5 billion. The video game and merchandise retailer has accumulated a 5% stake in eBay, a company valued at almost four times GameStop’s market capitalisation, and proposed an offer of $125 per share, split equally between cash and stock, to merge the two companies. This represented a 46% premium to eBay’s share price at the time GameStop began building its position. However, eBay rejected the proposal last Tuesday, citing concerns surrounding the financing structure of the deal, as well as GameStop’s governance standards. There is now speculation that GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen could attempt to bring the proposal directly to eBay shareholders, similar to the approach seen during Paramount’s takeover of Warner Bros.

In retail, Walmart is developing “last-mile” depots to improve delivery speeds as it continues to compete with Amazon for dominance in rapid retail delivery services. According to the Financial Times, Walmart is opening smaller depot-style facilities that will function as dark stores used exclusively by drivers operating through the company’s Spark delivery platform. The rationale behind these depots is the time required to fulfil grocery orders within Walmart Supercentres, which can span as much as 180,000 square feet. The new depots are reportedly closer to 20,000 square feet and will primarily stock high-demand household goods. E-commerce now generates approximately $100 billion in US revenue for Walmart and, while the company operates 4,600 stores across the country, Amazon’s recent expansion of 30-minute delivery services in dozens of US cities means the competitive battle is increasingly measured in minutes rather than hours or days.

In the technology sector, capital expenditure among some of the world’s largest technology companies continues to surge in response to AI demand. However, this spending has significantly reduced free cash flow generation at many of these firms. Wall Street forecasts estimate that, by the third quarter of 2026, the combined free cash flow of Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta could decline to just $4 billion, compared with an average of $45 billion during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, when capital expenditure slowed considerably. If realised, this would represent the lowest combined free cash flow for these companies since 2014. Amazon, in particular, is expected to spend more on capital expenditure in 2026 than it generates in cash flow. This presents a challenge for investor returns despite technology share prices remaining at all-time highs. Alphabet repurchased no shares during Q1 2026 — the first quarter without buybacks since the programme began in 2015 — while Meta maintained its pause on repurchases.

The surge in demand for semiconductors and AI-related investments is also evident in retail investor activity. The Roundhill Memory ETF has accumulated more than $6 billion in assets despite launching only five weeks ago, making it the fastest-growing ETF of its kind in history and surpassing the pace previously set by BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF.

In Europe, markets declined last week, weighed down by persistently high oil prices and political uncertainty in the UK. As both the US and Iran rejected concessions, the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, keeping oil and natural gas prices elevated. However, AI-focused companies benefited from the rally in US technology stocks, with ASML rising 5% on Wednesday and Prosus gaining 4%. Markets also reacted positively to the bilateral meeting between the US and China. For the week, the Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX 600 closed lower, declining by 1.35% and 0.95% respectively.

In earnings, reports came from companies across several major sectors. Bayer, one of Germany’s largest pharmaceutical and chemical companies, reported positive results, with revenues rising 9% quarter-on-quarter. One of the key drivers behind the stronger performance was the company reaching an agreement with US rival Corteva regarding access to the US soybean seed market. Bayer has endured a difficult period after becoming embroiled in a major US Supreme Court case relating to allegations that its Roundup weedkiller caused cancer. However, the company has begun to recover from the episode, with shares rising more than 50% over the past year.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 fell last week, despite gains in banking, mining, and energy stocks, as markets reacted to ongoing political uncertainty. Elevated oil prices pushed shares in Shell and BP higher earlier in the week, while banks advanced amid speculation surrounding potential changes in the country’s political leadership. Mining companies also benefited from gains in commodities such as copper and iron ore. For the week, the FTSE 100 closed 0.89% lower.

Bonds

Global bond yields rose last week as inflation data and political uncertainty pushed yields higher. In the US, the 10-year Treasury yield increased to 4.59% to a one year high. The rise in yields came as US inflation accelerated to 3.8% in April, while producer prices — as measured by the Producer Price Index (PPI) — increased by 1.4% month-on-month, marking the largest monthly increase since early 2022. Both measures were driven higher by rising oil prices, highlighting the broader economic impact of ongoing geopolitical conflict on the US economy. These developments coincided with Kevin Warsh being sworn in as the new Chair of the Federal Reserve. In the UK, gilt yields climbed to multi-decade highs as Prime Minister Keir Starmer faced mounting pressure to step down following disappointing local elections.

Commodities

Oil prices rose last week due to the ongoing situation in the Middle East and continuing structural supply concerns. With no agreement reached between the US and Iran, the stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz persists. However, prices also remained elevated after the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that global oil inventories declined at a record pace during March and April, warning that markets could remain undersupplied until at least October. Brent crude remained above $100 per barrel, rising 5% over the course of the week. In metals, gold prices traded within a narrow range after higher US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at current levels for the remainder of 2026.

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