Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond 2 matured on the 08th of December 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.525% over 18 months — equivalent to 10.35% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 49 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 12.75% over an average term of 22 months. Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond 2 matured on the 08th of December 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.525% over 18 months — equivalent to 10.35% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 49 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 12.75% over an average term of 22 months.
Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond 2 matured on the 08th of December 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.525% over 18 months — equivalent to 10.35% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 49 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 12.75% over an average term of 22 months. Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the BNP Global Equity Bond 2 matured on the 08th of December 2025, delivering an impressive gross return of 15.525% over 18 months — equivalent to 10.35% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 49 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 12.75% over an average term of 22 months.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 12th January 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006,966.28+0.97%+1.76%
NASDAQ23,671.35+1.42%+1.85%
EuroStoxx505,997.47+1.62%+3.56%
EuroStoxx600609.67+1.78%+2.95%
FTSE 10010,124.60+1.43%+1.95%
ISEQ13,080.06-0.81%-0.15%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED3.75%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE3.75%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.171-0.43%+0.43%
US 2YR3.540+1.81%+2.05%
German 10YR2.8256-2.53%-1.28%
UK 10YR4.377-3.61%-2.17%
Irish 10YR2.994-2.61%-1.13%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.1637-0.77%-0.92%
EUR/GBP0.8680-0.33%-0.41%
GBP/USD1.3399-0.36%-0.54%

Key Events

Economics

  • 13/01/2026 – US Inflation Dat
  • 14/01/2025 – China Trade Data

Earnings

  • 13/01/2026 – JP Morgan, BNY Mellon
  • 14/01/2026 – Bank of America, Citi Group
  • 15/01/2026 – Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs
Economic Outlook 2026: Growth Expectations, Risks, & Equity Market Drivers
As global markets move beyond 2025, attention is increasingly focused on the economic outlook for 2026 and the key forces shaping growth and investment returns. In our first Seaspray Private financial insight for 2026 we examine the global GDP growth expectations across major economies, drawing on forecasts from leading institutions to assess risks, opportunities, and regional divergence. We also highlight equity market performance, with a particular focus on the drivers and detractors of S&P 500 returns in 2025 and the growing concentration in large-cap technology stocks.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

Having ousted President Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration has made clear its intention to access the country’s vast oil reserves, stating that between 30 million and 50 million barrels could be turned over to the US. Venezuela holds the largest proven crude oil reserves in the world, with 303bn barrels reported in 2023. Despite this, the country exported only $4bn worth of crude oil, compared with $125bn from the US. This helps explain the relatively muted movements in oil markets last week, as Venezuela currently has limited influence on global oil supply. Any increase in Venezuelan exports would also exert downward pressure on oil prices, as the market is already viewed as oversupplied. However, while global attention remains focused on oil, Venezuela is also rich in other minerals. The country has the largest gold reserves in Latin America, with 161 tonnes in storage, valued at approximately $22 billion. Venezuela also ranks ninth in the world for natural gas reserves, accounting for 73 percent of the total natural gas reserves in South America. Most of these reserves are linked to crude oil, with around 80 percent of produced natural gas being a by-product of oil production.

Europe & UK

In Europe, Friday saw the EU countries approve the Mercosur trade deal, with five countries, including Ireland opposing the agreement. Although the trade provisions can be applied provisionally, the agreement cannot come into force formally until the European Parliament has given its consent. That vote is expected in April or May. Meanwhile the OECD announced last week that the 147 countries involved in the Global Minimum Tax arrangement had agreed on key elements of the overall package.

In the UK, new car sales reached pre-pandemic levels in 2025, driven largely by the growth in sales of Chinese-made electric vehicles, such as BYD. A total of 2.02 million cars were registered in the UK, with Chinese EVs accounted for 12.8% of total registrations.

Ireland

Ireland’s corporate tax receipts continued to underpin a healthy Exchequer position in 2025, with €32.9 billion collected during the year. This represented growth of 17% compared with 2024, excluding the Apple tax case, which generated €14 billion in 2024. Overall, Government tax revenues rose to €105.7 billion in 2025, an increase of 9% year on year, resulting in a headline surplus of €7.1 billion.

Asia-Pacific

In China, the US operation in Venezuela is set to have far-reaching consequences. China has extended more than $60 billion in credit lines to Venezuela since 2000, in return for discounted oil supplies that were used to service this debt. While these purchases accounted for only around 4% of China’s total oil imports, Venezuelan crude is distinctive due to its high sulphur content, making it particularly important for construction and road-building activities. Chinese oil companies, including Sinopec, also hold claims on Venezuelan oil reserves, which may now be at risk.

Meanwhile, Tokyo, one of the world’s great metropolises, has lost its status as the world’s largest city, having been overtaken by Jakarta. This change reflects updated methodologies adopted by the United Nations for measuring large urban conurbations. Under the revised approach, the wider urban area surrounding Jakarta, including major satellite cities such as Bogor, has been incorporated into the population count. As a result, Jakarta has been designated the world’s largest city, with a population of approximately 42 million.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, markets continued to edge higher last week despite the significant geopolitical actions undertaken by the US in Venezuela. In fact, markets closed higher in Monday’s session, the first trading day since the operation to oust President Nicolás Maduro. Markets continued to advance through the week, with the S&P 500 breaking the 7,000 level for the first time in history. However, sentiment turned negative on Wednesday, driven not by geopolitical concerns but by economic factors, as jobs data reinforced the view that the labour market is beginning to weaken. While the situation in Venezuela dominated headlines, President Trump also signed an executive order last week seeking to prevent defence companies from paying dividends or conducting share buybacks until they “produce a superior product, on time and on budget”. The announcement sent shares in Lockheed Martin, Raytheon and others down by more than 4% on Wednesday afternoon, before rebounding in after-hours trading on Thursday morning after President Trump stated he wished to raise the US military budget by 50% to $1.5tn.

In corporate developments, US asset managers recorded a landmark year for mergers and acquisitions spending. Globally, M&A activity exceeded $4.5 trillion for the first time since 2021, with 68 transactions valued at more than $10 billion. Two deals stood out in particular: the acquisition of Norfolk Southern by Union Pacific in the rail sector, and the protracted Warner Bros. Discovery saga, which saw Netflix and Paramount engage in a competitive battle for the iconic studio, with Netflix winning out in the end. In healthcare, Novo Nordisk began 2026 decisively, announcing a significant price reduction for its Wegovy pill in the US. From January to April, patients can purchase the lowest dosages of the pill — 1.5mg and 4mg — for $149 per month, rising to $199 per month thereafter. Insured patients may access these dosages for as little as $25. This pricing is materially lower than both Novo Nordisk’s injectable version of Wegovy and Eli Lilly’s weight-loss drug, Zepbound, which is currently only available in injectable form. Wegovy is the first oral GLP-1 weight-loss pill approved by the FDA; however, Eli Lilly is expected to launch a pill version of Zepbound later this year at a substantially lower price than its injectable counterpart. Pricing strategy remains critical for Novo Nordisk as it seeks to keep pace with Eli Lilly, which has moved decisively ahead in the race to supply weight-loss treatments at scale. Novo Nordisk’s share price has fallen by more than 40% over the past year, while Eli Lilly’s has risen 36%, with the company becoming the first healthcare firm to surpass a $1 trillion market capitalisation in 2025. Finally, remaining within the weight-loss theme, a San Francisco–based start-up, Okava, is testing a GLP-1 drug known as exenatide for use in pets, including cats and dogs. Its initial trial, aptly named MEOW-1, marks an early step towards commercialisation. The company aims to price the treatment at up to $200 per month, as spending on household pets in the US continues to surge, with $183 billion spent on pets according to 2023 data.

For the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed higher, rising 0.97% and 1.42% respectively.

In Europe, equity markets rose to new highs in the early part of last week, brushing aside concerns over Venezuela and extending their record-breaking run. Both the Eurostoxx50 and the STOXX600 closed at record levels on Monday, supported by broad-based sector gains, with defence and basic resources stocks leading the advance. However, as the week progressed, indices began to lose momentum as geopolitical tensions overshadowed positive corporate sentiment. On the corporate front, KKR announced plans to invest $1.5 billion into its European data centre platform, reflecting a bullish outlook for growing data centre demand in Europe despite the sector’s current dominance by the US.

For the week, the Eurostoxx 50 and STOXX600 finished higher, gaining 1.62% and 1.78% respectively.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 pushed past the 10,000 mark for the second time in history last Tuesday, having already broken the threshold in the opening days of 2026. Despite its lower allocation to technology compared with its peers in Europe and the US, the index delivered stronger gains in 2025 than major benchmarks in both regions, supported by sustained demand for metals and basic resources. That trend appears set to continue, with the index advancing again last week on the back of strong performances from oil majors Shell and BP, as well as metals producers such as Fresnillo, which have benefited from a rally in precious metals.

In corporate news, Tesco and Marks & Spencer both reported positive Christmas trading updates. Tesco recorded 3.7% like-for-like sales growth over the 19 weeks to 3 January, while Marks & Spencer reported 5.6% growth over the 13 weeks to 27 December.

For the week, the FTSE 100 closed 1.43% higher.

Bonds

Global bond yields were largely muted last week, with limited movement as geopolitical developments took centre stage. In the US, the 10-year yield fell to 4.17%, weighed down by weaker jobs data despite an improvement in services sector activity. January may also bring a new nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve, as Jerome Powell is due to step down in May, a development that could have significant implications for the future direction of interest rates. In the UK, the 10-year Gilt yield declined to 4.37%, as expectations grew for at least one quarter-point rate cut by the Bank of England in 2026.

Commodities

Oil prices advanced slightly last week as markets reacted to developments in Venezuela and Iran and the prospect of additional crude supply entering global markets. While President Trump’s announcement that the US will receive between 30 million and 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil pressured prices, protests in Iran kept prices elevated. Brent crude futures rose to around $63.34 per barrel, while WTI crude traded near $59.12 per barrel.

In metals, prices were mixed. Gold and silver rose as geopolitical uncertainty persisted even as traders took profits. Meanwhile, copper reached a new all-time high, exceeding $13,000 per tonne, as mounting supply concerns compounded gains following disruptions at major mining sites, including Force Majeure at Freeport-McMoRan’s Grasberg mine in Indonesia and other global production challenges. Copper has now climbed sharply after only passing $12,000 per tonne in late December, reflecting tight market conditions driven by strong demand and limited supply.

MORE INSIGHTS