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WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 01st September 2025

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006,460.26+0.07%+9.84%
NASDAQ21,455.55+0.01%+11.11%
EuroStoxx505,351.73-2.01%+9.31%
EuroStoxx600550.14-1.68%+8.38%
FTSE 1009,187.34-1.08%+12.41%
ISEQ11,281.29-3.77%+15.62%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED4.50%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE4.00%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.22-0.75%-7.57%
US 2YR3.62-1.76%-14.48%
German 10YR2.722+0.11%+15.25%
UK 10YR4.72+0.68%+3.42%
Irish 10YR2.96-1.36%+12.39%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.1684-0.33%+12.83%
EUR/GBP0.8651-0.21%+4.58%
GBP/USD1.3503-0.08%+7.88%

Key Events

  • 02/09/2025 – EU Flash Inflation Rate
  • 05/09/2025 – US Non Farm Payrolls
Financial Insight of the Week
In our latest Seaspray Private Financial Insight, Cathal Slevin discusses how history has proven that even investing just before major downturns can still deliver strong long-term returns, with the takeaway being – Patience pays. A diversified, long-term strategy can weather even the toughest storms.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

President Trump’s ongoing battle with the Federal Reserve escalated last week when he demanded the immediate resignation of Fed Governor Lisa Cook. The President claimed constitutional and legal powers that would allow him to dismiss her, alleging she had made false statements on mortgage agreements. Cook, however, has stated that she will not step down, raising the possibility that the case could end up in the courts, with the independence of the Federal Reserve effectively at stake. If the President were to succeed in removing Cook, it would mean that a majority of the Governors on the Federal Open Market Committee would be his appointees, and therefore more likely to share his views on monetary policy. However, there is little precedent for the removal of a Federal Reserve official “for cause”, which requires a significant finding of wrongdoing.

Europe & UK

In Europe, political uncertainty intensified in France as Prime Minister François Bayrou announced a confidence vote on his planned budget cuts. The vote is scheduled for 8th of September; however, the three main opposition parties—the National Rally (RN), the Greens, and the Socialists—have all declared they will not support the minority government. A defeat would bring down the government and could lead President Emmanuel Macron to either appoint a new Prime Minister, ask Bayrou to head a caretaker administration, or potentially call a snap election. The confidence vote stems from a proposed €44 billion package of tax increases and spending cuts, including spending freezes across all government departments except defence.

In the UK, passenger numbers at airports reached a new record between April and June, with 81 million travellers passing through—surpassing pre-pandemic levels amid robust demand for air travel.

Ireland

Bank of Ireland has announced an increase in the limit for its Green Business Loan from €300,000 to €1 million, enabling companies and farmers to adopt more climate-friendly initiatives. The loan covers areas such as renewable energy, clean transport, and waste management solutions, with discounted variable rates ranging from 4.41% to 6.21%. Meanwhile, Ryanair has confirmed it will receive 25 new Boeing 737 Max 8 aircraft earlier than planned, with delivery now scheduled for October of this year instead of spring 2026. The additional capacity will be available in time for the busy Christmas period.

Asia-Pacific

Evergrande’s stock market listing was officially cancelled last week, marking the end of the public saga surrounding the world’s most indebted property developer. The company was at the centre of a crisis in 2021, when it defaulted on offshore bond repayments due to a lack of liquidity. By 2022, its liabilities totalled more than $300 billion—almost $50 billion above its total assets. Shares in the firm had been suspended from trading since January 2024, and after failing to meet resumption requirements, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange cancelled its listing.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, equity markets initially declined in the early part of last week as investors sold off gains made in the previous week, before recovering ahead of NVIDIA’s earnings call, which propelled the S&P 500 index to a new all-time high, climbing above 6,500 for the first time in history. NVIDIA, the world’s largest company by market capitalisation, reported record Q2 earnings on Wednesday evening, with revenues rising to $46.7 billion—beating forecasts and marking year-on-year growth of 55.6%. This was the ninth consecutive quarter in which the company posted revenue growth above 50%. Of the $46.7 billion total, $41.1 billion came from its data centre segment, which has expanded seventeenfold over the past four years. Gaming, once the cornerstone of NVIDIA’s business model, recorded 14% year-on-year growth, with revenues climbing to $4.3 billion. The key takeaway from the earnings call was CEO Jensen Huang’s continued expectation that spending on artificial intelligence will increase in the coming years. He also announced a $60 billion share buyback, up from $50 billion the previous year. Despite the strong results, NVIDIA’s shares fell 3% in after-hours trading on Wednesday, as the figures failed to meet lofty investor expectations and concerns over an apparent slowdown in growth. This weighed on the broader market in after-hours trading. Markets also responded to comments made by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole. While he did not explicitly confirm that a rate cut is imminent, he noted that inflationary pressures remain a greater concern for monetary policy than labour market data. On the trade front, the United States pressed ahead with increased tariffs on India over its continued imports of Russian oil. The new levy raises overall tariffs on Indian goods to 50%, as the additional 25% punitive tariff is applied on top of the existing reciprocal rate. Relations between the two countries have cooled considerably in recent months, and the higher tariffs could have a major impact on trade. The Global Trade Research Initiative, based in New Delhi, estimates that Indian exports to the US could fall from $86.5 billion in 2025 to $50 billion in 2026. In corporate developments, Eli Lilly announced that its latest anti-obesity pill, orforglipron, has met its weight-loss targets, bringing it closer to regulatory approval. In clinical trials, the pill reduced body weight in overweight individuals with diabetes by an average of 10.5%, with side effects similar to those of its injectable weight-loss drugs. For the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed up 0.07% and 0.01%, respectively.

In Europe, equity markets retreated last week as political uncertainty in France triggered a wider sell-off across the continent. The confidence vote scheduled for 8th September, announced by Prime Minister François Bayrou, could bring down the minority government if it fails to secure support from other parties. The largest opposition groups have already stated their intention to vote against it. In corporate news, Ørsted shares fell sharply after the US Government ordered the company to halt work on the near-completed Revolution Wind project, valued at $1.5 billion. The wind farm developer still plans to raise the equivalent of $9.4 billion through a rights issue to support the completion of other ongoing projects. While the US has become an increasingly volatile market for renewable energy, Europe appears to be benefiting from American resistance to renewables. In the first half of 2025, renewable energy investment in Europe rose by 63% compared with the second half of 2024, while in the US it declined by 36%. Meanwhile, electric vehicle sales in Europe increased by 39% in July. Registrations for BYD models have surged 291% so far in 2025, in stark contrast to a 34% decline in Tesla registrations. For the week, the Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX600 indices closed down -2.01% and -1.68%, respectively.

In the UK, the FTSE 100 fell during a shortened trading week, weighed down by political uncertainty in France. However, the index recovered slightly as the week progressed, supported by positive corporate developments. JD Sports reported mixed Q2 earnings: Sales in the UK and Europe declined, while US sales rose by more than 2% compared with the same period in 2024. The company also announced a £100 million share buyback. There were no major economic data releases during the week. Overall, the FTSE 100 ended down -1.08%.

Bonds

Global bond yields were mixed last week, as an ever-changing outlook on interest rates left markets largely directionless. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.22%, as dovish sentiment from Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole continued to weigh on yields. President Trump’s efforts to remove Governor Lisa Cook and replace her with a more dovish candidate also contributed to downward pressure. Markets are now pricing in an 89% probability of a 0.25% rate cut in September. In the United Kingdom, the 10-year Gilt yield edged slightly higher to 4.72%, after more hawkish comments from MPC member Catherine Mann pushed yields upward.

Commodities

Crude oil prices edged lower last week, as softening US demand at the close of the summer coincided with muted market reactions to US tariffs on India. The Labour Day holiday marks the end of the summer driving season, leading to reduced road usage and lower fuel consumption heading into winter. The US tariffs on India, imposed in response to Russian oil purchases, had little impact on prices, as India is still expected to import Russian crude, albeit in smaller volumes. Brent crude closed at $67.45, while WTI settled at $64.01. In metals, gold prices rose to over $3,448, supported by hopes of a US rate cut and increasingly dovish sentiment going forward.

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