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WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 05th October 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5007,722.72+0.24%+12.81%
NASDAQ27,190.86+1.01%+16.99%
EuroStoxx506,218.19-1.11%+7.35%
EuroStoxx600631.35-1.38%+6.61%
FTSE 10010,461.95-2.40%+5.34%
ISEQ14,258.63-1.05%+8.85%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED4.00%—0
ECB2.65%—0
BOE3.75%—0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR5.27+0.53%+24.89%
US 2YR4.82-1.93%+37.99%
German 10YR3.46-4.49%+18.22%
UK 10YR5.37-0.35%+17.74%
Irish 10YR3.62-2.46%+17.03%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.123-1.21%-4.34%
EUR/GBP0.850-1.02%-2.42%
GBP/USD1.320-0.18%-1.95%

Key Events

  • 06/10/2026 – Irish Budget 2027
  • 07/10/2026 – US FOMC Minutes

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

The repercussions of the US–Iran war will be felt by US consumers for some time to come, according to executives in the oil and gas industry. Almost half of the executives polled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said they did not expect US diesel prices to return to normal levels for more than a year, largely as a result of the conflict. US diesel prices hit a record $6.50 a gallon in September, surpassing the peak seen after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Although the Trump administration is considering a halt to diesel exports, such a move would probably lower prices only temporarily. In the meantime, the US has stepped up pressure on its European allies to release fuel reserves and has called on China to increase production. Elevated diesel prices have pushed US inflation significantly higher, prompting the Fed to raise interest rates. Bond yields have since climbed to 22-year highs, with the US 10-year Treasury yield reaching 5.35% last Thursday, before retreating on Friday.

 

Europe & UK

In Europe, the steel industry has suffered significantly amid macroeconomic headwinds, with total exports down 20% in the first half of 2026. US tariffs have been a key factor, with exports to the US falling by 29% in the same period compared with 2025. Exports to China and India also fell by more than 15%, reflecting increased competition from cheaper steel produced elsewhere.

The UK economy remained resilient in the second quarter of 2026, with GDP expanding 0.5%, above the initial 0.4% estimate, after 0.6% growth in the first quarter. The stronger-than-expected data comes despite the conflict in the Middle East and provides a welcome backdrop for Prime Minister Andy Burnham ahead of his first Budget.

Ireland

Ireland’s manufacturing sector continued to expand in September, supported by strong output. The AIB Ireland Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 55.5 from 55.4 in August, where a reading above 50 indicates expansion. The improvement was driven by strong order books and a rise in output, which grew at its fastest pace since March 2022.

Irish consumers also continued to spend through the summer. Figures from the Central Statistics Office showed retail sales volumes rose 0.6% month on month in August and were 4.3% higher than a year earlier.

Asia-Pacific

Japan continues to expand its data centre network as it seeks to become the leading hub for AI-focused data centres outside the US and China. Last week, a $140bn investment programme was launched with Jera, the Japanese energy company and one of the world’s largest buyers of liquefied natural gas (LNG). As part of the programme, Jera, Dell and UK-based AI infrastructure developer RHAELM will build a $15bn, 400-megawatt (MW) data centre near Tokyo, which they say will be the largest AI data centre project in Asia. The three companies aim to develop 3–4 gigawatts (GW) of combined AI data centre and gas-fired power capacity within five years, using a standardised model for building grid-scale AI infrastructure. The approach is designed to shorten lead times and reduce the complexity of developing AI data centres, using a repeatable model that could be rolled out across Japan and potentially overseas.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, oil and the outlook for interest rates set the tone for most of the week, while technology shares held up better than the rest of the market. Shares fell on Monday after President Trump rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which sent crude oil prices higher, giving the S&P 500 its worst day since August. Boeing lost 6.9% after a delay to the certification of its 737 MAX 10, and Tesla fell 13.5% over the week after a broker cut its target, while Nvidia gained 1.6% after authorising a $150 billion share buyback. This breaks the record set by Apple in 2024, when they repurchased $110bn worth of shares. Along with this, the company announced it had authorised spending on buybacks of $235bn through fiscal year 2028. Trading was quieter on Tuesday, after comments from the New York Fed that there was no urgency to raise rates again. On Wednesday, softer inflation figures lifted technology shares and the NASDAQ edged higher, although the broader market slipped. That left the NASDAQ almost 2% higher over the third quarter and the S&P 500 slightly lower. After the close, Micron forecast quarterly revenue well above expectations and stated that long-term supply commitments had grown to $32 billion, supporting chipmakers before Thursday’s open. Elsewhere, Google unveiled its newest version of its most advanced AI model, which it claims can match or beat rival models from companies such as OpenAI or Anthrophic. The Gemini 4 Argon model is built for proficiency in areas such as coding, cyber security and science. After a positive Friday session, fueled by a weaker than expected non-farm payrolls report, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ finished the week higher, up 0.24% and 1.01% respectively.

In Europe, shares came under steady pressure from rising inflation and interest-rate worries. A 2.5% jump in technology shares on Tuesday was not enough to offset weakness in banks, energy and food producers. Higher than expected inflation figures from Germany, France and Italy weighed on investor sentiment on Wednesday, when insurers fell 1.4%. Thursday brought a further fall, led by the banks, taking the region to its lowest level since mid-September. For the week, the Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX Europe 600 closed 1.11% and 1.38% lower, respectively.

In the United Kingdom, housebuilders surged on Monday after the announcement of a new homebuyer support scheme, led by Barratt Redrow (+11.7%), with Persimmon, Taylor Wimpey and Bellway also posting strong gains. Mining stocks fell as precious metal prices weakened, with Fresnillo down 5.1%. Energy shares weighed on the market on Tuesday, contributing to the FTSE 100’s largest monthly decline since March, before a broader market sell-off on Thursday. The index finished the week down 2.40%.

Bonds

American government borrowing costs rose to levels not seen in almost two decades. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.29% on Tuesday, the highest since June 2007, and touched 5.31% on Thursday, completing its largest quarterly rise since 1994; the 30-year Treasury yield went above 5.65%. Softer inflation figures and the New York Fed’s message that there was no urgency to raise rates helped shorter-dated debt more than longer maturities, and jobless claims stayed near historic lows. British 30-year Gilt yields climbed above 6% on Thursday, the highest since 1998.

Commodities

Oil swung sharply as diplomacy over the Strait of Hormuz stalled and Gulf supplies began to recover. Brent jumped more than $4 a barrel during Monday’s session and settled at about $105 after President Trump rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the strait. It fell 2.6% on Tuesday on signs that Middle East exports were recovering, with Saudi Arabia routing more crude by pipeline to the Red Sea and resuming loadings at the Port City of Yanbu, and a rise in American inventories added to the easing. Brent traded close to $100 on Friday.

Gold had a difficult week, falling as much as 4% on Monday to its lowest level since early August due to surging bond yields and a firmer dollar. It recovered only partially to about $4,180 an ounce, down around 2.4% over the week, after losing more than 6% in September.

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