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Seaspray Private Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook – Navigating Geopolitics and Market Volatility is now available to read and download for free. Click here to view the document Seaspray Private Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook – Navigating Geopolitics and Market Volatility is now available to read and download for free. Click here to view the document.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 04th May 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5007,230.12+1.04%+5.62%
NASDAQ25,114.44+1.57%+8.06%
EuroStoxx505,881.51+0.01%+1.56%
EuroStoxx600611.55+0.14%+3.27%
FTSE 10010,363.93-0.02%+4.36%
ISEQ12,593.36+2.21%-3.86%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED3.75%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE3.75%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.39+1.48%+4.65%
US 2YR3.89+2.26%+11.94%
German 10YR3.04+1.52%+4.63%
UK 10YR5.03+1.43%+10.81%
Irish 10YR3.27+1.61%+6.67%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.174+0.38%-0.01%
EUR/GBP0.862-0.32%-1.01%
GBP/USD1.360+0.78%+1.02%

Key Events

Earnings 

  • 04/05/2026 – Berkshire Hathaway, Palantir
  • 05/05/2026 – HSBC, AMD, Arista,

Economics 

  • 08/05/2026 – US Non-Farm Payrolls
China vs US cyber security
Trade Power vs Market Power: Comparing the US and China
In our most recent Seaspray Private financial data insight we explore the evolving economic relationship between the United States and China, comparing global trade leadership with stock market performance. While China has emerged as the world’s largest exporter, the United States continues to dominate global equity markets, driven by innovation and technology investment. Using export data and equity index performance from 2011–2026, our analysis highlights how structural differences between the two economies shape global financial markets.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

The Federal Reserve (Fed) held its April interest rate meeting last Tuesday, marking the final meeting with Jerome Powell as Chair of the Fed. As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee did not cut interest rates; however, the vote was the most divided since 1992. Eight members voted to hold rates at their current level, while four dissented. Of these, one voted in favour of a rate cut, while the remaining three objected to the inclusion of an easing bias in the Fed’s policy statement. Inflation remains the key stumbling block for the Fed, with Powell stating in his address that higher energy prices are likely to push up overall inflation. However, the broader economic outlook remains uncertain. Despite this, the US economy appears to be on steady footing, with continued expansion, strong consumer spending, and little change in the labour market. Powell also used his address to announce that he will remain as a Governor of the Fed for “a period of time, to be determined”. Last Wednesday saw the Senate Banking Committee approve the nomination of Kevin Warsh to take over as Fed Chair. The final vote is expected on 11 May with Powell’s term ending on 15 May.

Europe & UK

In Europe, the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged at its latest policy meeting, as expected by markets, opting to hold deposit rates at their current levels. However, like its counterparts in the US and UK, future rate decisions remain closely linked to developments in the conflict in the Middle East. Eurozone inflation also rose to 3% in April, the highest level since 2023.

In the UK, the Bank of England held interest rates at 3.75%, although the prospect of a rate hike later this year remains firmly on the table. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 8–1 in favour of maintaining rates at their current level. However, the Bank’s Governor, Andrew Bailey, stated that the current policy stance represents an “active hold” rather than a passive one, suggesting that if inflationary pressures remain persistent, an increase in the policy rate is likely.

Ireland

Consumer prices rose in April, according to the latest data from the Central Statistics Office. The data suggest that inflation accelerated to 3.6% in April, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from March, driven primarily by higher energy prices. According to the report, energy prices increased by 15.5% in the 12 months to April 2026, including a rise of 2.2% in April alone. In addition, food prices increased by 2.0% over the same 12-month period. These trends are also reflected in the core inflation measure, which excludes changes in food and energy prices, with the core rate rising by 2.3% over the past year.

Elsewhere, Irish-based energy group DCC plc disclosed last week that it had received a cash takeover bid from a group of private investors led by KKR and Energy Capital Partners. DCC currently has a market capitalisation of around £5 billion and is listed on the FTSE 100 in London. The company owns the Certa chain of forecourts and heating oil providers.

Asia-Pacific

China is expected to begin exporting jet fuel, petrol and diesel from May, as industries grapple with tightening supply amid the situation in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Some of China’s largest oil companies have applied for export licences to ship these products. At the onset of the conflict, China was exporting around 800,000 barrels per day of refined fuels such as jet fuel; however, this figure has halved since the conflict began. This presents China with an opportunity to re-enter the market at a time when demand for these fuels is elevated, particularly across Asian countries facing shortages, especially in jet fuel.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, equity markets fluctuated last week as geopolitical risk subsided and earnings data took centre stage. On the geopolitical front, there were no clear signs of an agreement between the US and Iran; instead, rhetoric intensified, particularly from the US. Military officials reportedly briefed President Donald Trump on potential further action against Iran, pushing oil prices above $100 per barrel. Washington also rejected Iran’s proposals and insisted it would continue its blockade of the country’s ports until an agreement on its nuclear programme is reached. For the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite closed higher, up 1.04% and 1.57% respectively.

In earnings, it was a technology-heavy week, with Meta Platforms and Alphabet Inc. both reporting first-quarter results. Starting with Meta, the Facebook owner reported revenues of $56.3 billion, nearly $1 billion ahead of estimates. However, capital expenditure dominated the release. The company reported Q1 capital spending of $19.84 billion, below Wall Street estimates of $27.5 billion. Despite this, Meta raised its full-year capex guidance to between $125 billion and $145 billion, indicating a significant increase in spending as the year progresses, which the company attributed to higher component costs. On the user side, daily active users declined by more than 5% compared with the previous quarter, largely due to internet disruptions in Iran linked to the conflict with the US and restrictions on WhatsApp in Russia. Shares fell 7% in extended trading, as investors focused on increased capital spending rather than strong revenue growth. Alphabet, meanwhile, delivered positive earnings growth, with revenues rising to $109.9 billion, ahead of estimates of $107.2 billion. Its Cloud division, benefiting from rising demand driven by AI development, also exceeded expectations, reporting $20.02 billion in revenue versus $18.05 billion forecast. The company reported capex of $35.7 billion in Q1 and increased its full-year capex guidance to a range of $180 billion to $190 billion, up from $175 billion to $185 billion. Shares rose 7% in extended trading, reaching an all-time high.

In corporate developments, Pershing Square Capital Management, the hedge fund run by Bill Ackman, listed on the New York Stock Exchange last week, raising $5 billion. Pershing Square USA, a new closed-end fund based on the firm’s main strategy, listed on Wednesday and fell 18% from its initial offering price, closing at $40.90. Pershing Square, the management company, also listed on Wednesday and traded broadly flat on its first day. The $5 billion raised was at the lower end of expectations, with initial projections suggesting the combined listings could raise up to $10 billion.

In the technology sector, China has intervened in Meta’s acquisition of Manus, a Chinese-founded but Singapore-based AI company. Beijing’s attempt to unwind the deal may prove challenging, given that Meta has already begun integrating Manus’s software into its operations. If Meta fails to comply, Chinese authorities could restrict its business activities in the country and impose financial penalties. Meta acquired Manus last year for a reported $2 billion, and the intervention comes just weeks before a planned meeting between President Trump and Xi Jinping.

In Europe, equity markets declined for most of last week before rebounding on Thursday after the European Central Bank maintained interest rates at their current level and oil prices retreated from four-year highs. Earnings were mixed, with car manufacturers Stellantis and Volkswagen declining after missing revenue estimates. Meanwhile, French banks BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole also saw their shares fall by more than 4%. For the week, the Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX Europe 600 closed lower, down 0.01% and 0.14% respectively.

In corporate developments, the first autocallable exchange-traded fund (ETF) was launched last week, offering investors a potential stream of income unless the underlying index falls below a specified level. The Calamos Autocallable Income ETF offers a yield of 14% and provides investors with access to a high-yielding strategy typically available through structured products. The ETF is linked to an index tied to the S&P 500 and contains 52 weekly autocallable notes. Returns are generated from each note provided the underlying index remains above 60% of its initial level, with the notes being called after one year if the index is above its starting level. Each note has a maximum term of five years.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 traded lower for much of last week before rebounding on Thursday, in line with broader European markets. Strong corporate earnings and the Bank of England’s decision to hold interest rates supported market sentiment. Among individual equities, Rolls-Royce Holdings shares rose 7% following positive first-quarter earnings, while Standard Chartered gained nearly 4% on Thursday after reporting record Q1 profits. For the week, the FTSE 100 closed marginally lower, down -0.02%.

In corporate developments, within the football sector, Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. announced plans to develop an £80 million purpose-built stadium for its women’s team, marking a first for both the UK and Europe. The proposed 10,000-capacity venue will be located near its existing home ground, the Amex Stadium. The announcement comes amid growing demand for women’s football, with Deloitte estimating that women’s sports globally will generate over $3 billion in revenue this year, representing a 340% increase since 2022.

Bonds

Global bond yields rose last week as major central banks held their latest policy meetings. In the US, the 10-year yield rose to 4.39% on Friday after the Federal Reserve held rates at current levels and signalled that inflation remains a concern for monetary policy. Higher oil prices also kept yields elevated, while labour market data pointed to continued strength in the US economy. Initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level in 50 years, declining to 189,000, down 26,000 from the previous week. In the UK, the 10-year gilt yield rose above 5% after the Bank of England kept rates at 3.75%.

Commodities

Oil prices were volatile last week, reaching four-year highs on Thursday before retreating significantly. Prices were driven higher by reports that the US could launch further strikes against Iran, with President Trump having been briefed by senior military officials. Prices rose as high as $114 per barrel before falling back to $110 later on Thursday. However, with no clear signs of tensions easing, prices are expected to remain elevated. The UAE also exited OPEC after 60 years of membership, citing a desire for greater flexibility and to meet long-term energy demand. This move could strengthen ties with the US and may signal broader shifts within the alliance, as the UAE’s departure removes a notable share of production capacity. In metals markets, gold and silver prices declined last week, as rising oil prices and a stronger US dollar placed pressure on precious metals.

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