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Seaspray Private Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook – Navigating Geopolitics and Market Volatility is now available to read and download for free. Click here to view the document Seaspray Private Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook – Navigating Geopolitics and Market Volatility is now available to read and download for free. Click here to view the document.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 20th April 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5007,126.06+4.87%+4.10%
NASDAQ24,468.48+7.07%+5.28%
EuroStoxx506,057.71+3.09%+4.60%
EuroStoxx600626.58+2.43%+5.81%
FTSE 10010,667.63+1.06%+7.41%
ISEQ12,994.09+3.22%-0.80%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED3.75%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE3.75%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.30-0.60%+2.62%
US 2YR3.77-1.23%+8.58%
German 10YR3.03-0.88%+4.40%
UK 10YR4.85+0.25%+6.91%
Irish 10YR3.26-0.68%+6.36%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.178+0.97%+0.31%
EUR/GBP0.871+0.06%-0.02%
GBP/USD1.351+0.96%+0.32%

Key Events

  • 22/04/2026 – UK Inflation Data
  • 24/04/2026 – Japan Inflation Data

Earnings

  • 21/04/2026 – GE Aerospace
  • 22/04/2026 – Tesla, Lam Research, IBM
  • 23/04/2026 – Amazon, SAP, Intel
Q1 2026 Investment Review & Outlook
In our Q1 2026 Investment Review and Outlook, we review the key market developments during the first quarter and the macroeconomic forces expected to shape the months ahead. We focus on the impact of geopolitical tensions on global markets, and shifting expectations around inflation and interest rates, while noting the resilience of corporate earnings

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

As earnings season commenced last week, US banking groups were front and centre, with the largest institutions reporting their first-quarter results. One notable theme emerging from these earnings calls was the scale of share buybacks announced. In fact, the first quarter of 2026 saw record levels of buybacks among US banks, with $33bn in shares repurchased. These record buybacks were driven by increased net profits, as banks benefited from heightened merger and acquisition activity, alongside an elevated trading environment amid market volatility. Deregulation has also played a role, with the Trump administration allowing banks greater flexibility to allocate capital towards lending and shareholder returns.

Among JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, a combined $19.6bn in share buybacks was announced. JPMorgan’s figure of $8.33bn marked a new record, while Citigroup’s $6.3bn represented its highest level in two decades. Importantly, these banks also emphasised that their capital positions remain strong.

Europe & UK

In Europe, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated last week that EU countries should avoid loosening fiscal policy in response to the ongoing energy crisis. The primary rationale is to ensure that both public debt levels and bond markets remain stable. The IMF also forecast that global public debt will reach 100% of global GDP by 2029, one year earlier than previously expected, driven by rising debt levels in the US and China.

In the UK, the IMF cut the country’s growth forecast by more than that of any other G7 nation. This reflects the continued impact of the energy crisis, with growth now projected at 0.8% in 2026, representing a downward revision of five percentage points compared with its January forecast.

Ireland

Permanent TSB (PTSB), Ireland’s third-largest banking group, has been sold to BAWAG Group for a reported €1.6bn, bringing to an end 17 years of State shareholding in an Irish bank. BAWAG Group operates across a variety of European countries and the United States, serving approximately four million customers, with a primary focus on retail banking. PTSB was put up for sale last October and attracted significant interest, particularly following the expansion of its balance sheet through the acquisition of assets from Ulster Bank. Like other major Irish lenders, PTSB was bailed out during the Global Financial Crisis at a cost of €3.9bn. The Irish Government is expected to recover approximately €4bn through a combination of share sales, fees and dividends. The transaction leaves Bank of Ireland and Allied Irish Banks (AIB) as the primary domestically owned banking institutions in Ireland.

Asia-Pacific

China announced that it will restrict exports of sulfuric acid from 1st of May. This is a significant development, as sulfuric acid is a key input in fertiliser production, particularly for phosphate-based fertilisers, and China accounts for just over one-third of global supply. The primary driver behind the restriction is supply disruption. Sulfuric acid is a direct by-product of sulfur, which itself is derived from the oil and gas production process. Much of this sulfur is exported from the Middle East to China for processing. However, with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed over the past month, these shipments have been significantly constrained, thereby impacting sulfuric acid production. Beyond fertilisers, sulfuric acid is also critical in copper extraction, an essential input for industries such as data centres and electric vehicles.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, equity markets began to recover last week following a month of intense volatility. Hopes that the conflict between the US and Iran was nearing resolution supported markets, with the S&P 500 surpassing the significant 7,000-point milestone. The index had tested this level several times earlier in the year and was approaching it prior to the outbreak of the conflict, before declining to approximately 6,300 in late March. Over the past two weeks, the index has rebounded by around 650 points, representing a notable rally. Overall, it was a positive week, with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ Composite closing 4.87% and 7.07% higher, respectively.

Earnings season also gathered pace, with major financial institutions leading the initial releases. JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup all reported first-quarter results. As anticipated, it was another strong quarter for the sector, with trading divisions generating significant revenues as clients sought to capitalise on lower market valuations created by recent volatility. JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by assets, reported net income of $16.5bn, its second-best quarter on record, representing a 13% year-on-year increase. Goldman Sachs posted net income of $5.6bn, up 19%, while Citigroup reported $5.8bn, an increase of 42% year-on-year. Citigroup’s revenues reached a decade high as it progresses through the final stages of a company-wide turnaround led by CEO Jane Fraser. Both JPMorgan and Citigroup reported near-record trading revenues, particularly in fixed income and equities, as volatile market conditions created opportunities for trading desks. From a macroeconomic perspective, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon stated that the US economy remains resilient, supported by strong consumer spending. He cited continued growth in AI-related capital expenditure, increased fiscal stimulus, and deregulation as key factors underpinning the positive outlook.

In corporate developments, Amazon agreed to acquire Globestar, a satellite communications company, in a deal valued at approximately $11.57bn. The rationale behind the acquisition is to compete more directly with Starlink, owned by Elon Musk, which currently dominates the satellite communications market. Amazon presently operates around 200 satellites through its Project Kuiper initiative but plans to expand significantly, targeting the launch of 3,200 low Earth orbit satellites by 2029. However, this remains well below Starlink’s existing network of over 10,000 satellites and approximately nine million users.

In the technology sector, OpenAI released a cybersecurity-focused AI model to select enterprise customers, following a similar move by Anthropic. The model is designed to identify vulnerabilities in software systems and alert security professionals before they can be exploited. However, concerns remain regarding potential misuse if such tools fall into the wrong hands. As a result, both companies have implemented strict vetting processes to control access. According to Anthropic, its cybersecurity model, Mythos, has already identified thousands of vulnerabilities across platforms and web browsers, including some that had remained undetected for decades.

In Europe, equity markets also advanced last week as the ceasefire in the Middle East appeared to progress towards more substantive negotiations. However, gains were more muted than in the US, with corporate earnings influencing overall performance. Shares in the luxury goods sector declined midweek after Hermès reported that sales had been adversely affected by the conflict, sending its shares down 13% and weighing on the broader market. Nevertheless, for the week, the Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX Europe 600 closed higher, up 3.09% and 2.43%, respectively.

In earnings, ASML reported first-quarter results that exceeded expectations for both revenue and profit. The company recorded €8.5bn in net sales and €2.8bn in net income, while raising its 2026 revenue guidance to between €36bn and €40bn, above previous estimates of €34bn to €39bn. Despite this, shares fell by more than 6% midweek due to tighter export controls on the sale of its EUV machines to China, which are expected to weigh on future sales.

In corporate developments, Adidas confirmed it will not renew its long-standing partnership with the UEFA Champions League, with Nike set to take over as the official match ball supplier. This marks the end of a 25-year association, during which the iconic “starball” design became synonymous with the competition. Nike is reportedly in discussions to supply match balls for all UEFA men’s competitions from 2027 to 2031. Both companies have faced similar challenges in recent years, as lower-cost Asian manufacturers have gained market share and consumers have shifted towards more affordable brands.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 underperformed its global peers, closing slightly higher for the week. The index was weighed down by its heavy exposure to energy stocks and weaker corporate performance. Shares in Shell and BP declined as easing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran put downward pressure on oil prices. While there were pockets of strength, most notably from Antofagasta, whose shares rose 2.5% following a positive quarterly update, UK equities remained subdued overall as investors awaited further clarity on geopolitical developments. For the week, the FTSE 100 closed 1.06% higher.

Bonds

Global bond yields declined last week as inflationary concerns eased, driven by expectations of a potential de-escalation in the Middle East conflict. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.30% on Friday, having reached as high as 4.36% on Monday. The Federal Reserve is still expected to maintain interest rates at current levels for the remainder of 2026, with no cuts or hikes currently anticipated. In the UK, the 10 year gilt yield rose marginally, even as the Bank of England is still expected to raise interest rates, although to a lesser extent than previously anticipated in March.

Commodities

Oil prices fell to almost below $90 per barrel last week, as optimism surrounding a potential peace agreement between the US and Iran, and the possible full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to unrestricted shipping, placed downward pressure on prices. Reports on Wednesday indicated that Iran was open to allowing vessels to transit the Strait via its Oman-facing corridor, marking one of the first concrete public proposals aimed at de-escalating the conflict. This development raised hopes that the intense phase of fighting observed over the past month may be nearing an end. Between 6 and 12 April, a total of 17 tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz, compared with 332 vessels recorded in the week prior to the outbreak of the conflict. In metals markets, gold and silver prices increased over the week, supported by easing inflation concerns following the ceasefire. This, in turn, reduced expectations of further interest rate hikes and provided support for non-yielding assets such as gold.

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