Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence (AI) Bond 4 matured on the 09th of February 2026, delivering an impressive gross return of 22.50% over 18 months — equivalent to 15.00% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 51 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39.8 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.35% over an average term of 22 months.
Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence (AI) Bond 4 matured on the 09th of February 2026, delivering an impressive gross return of 22.50% over 18 months — equivalent to 15.00% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 51 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39.8 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.35% over an average term of 22 months.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 23rd March 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006,506.48-2.99%-4.95%
NASDAQ21,647.61-3.24%-6.86%
EuroStoxx505,501.28-3.75%-5.01%
EuroStoxx600573.28-3.87%-3.19%
FTSE 1009,918.33-3.57%-0.13%
ISEQ11,881.24-3.97%-9.30%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED3.75%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE3.75%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.39+2.50%+5.75%
US 2YR3.89+4.28%+12.25%
German 10YR3.038+2.06%+6.14%
UK 10YR4.99+3.31%+11.67%
Irish 10YR3.34+1.36%+10.49%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.157+1.30%-1.49%
EUR/GBP0.867+0.50%-0.53%
GBP/USD1.334+0.75%-0.98%

Key Events

  • 24/03/2026 – Japan Inflation Data (Feb)
  • 25/03/2026 – UK Inflation Data (Feb)
Market Analysis: Microsoft and current US interest rate projections
This week’s Seaspray Private financial data insight explores the key market developments shaping global equities in 2026, with a particular focus on the rotation away from technology led growth and the implications for major companies such as Microsoft. We also take a look at the broader macroeconomic backdrop, including inflationary pressures linked to geopolitical tensions, their impact on interest rate expectations, and a detailed review of Federal Reserve policy signals.

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

In the United States, the Federal Open Market Committee held its March meeting last week against the backdrop of rising inflation expectations driven by the war in Iran. Investors focused primarily on the comments of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell stated that the war in Iran is likely to increase inflation, as many had anticipated; however, he emphasised that it is too early to determine the “scope and duration of the potential effects on the economy”. According to the current Dot Plot of interest rate projections, a single quarter-point cut is still forecast by the majority of members. In terms of economic forecasts, the Fed expects PCE inflation, its preferred measure of inflation, to average 2.7% in 2026, up from its December 2025 forecast of 2.4%. However, Powell was keen to emphasise that these projections should not be overly scrutinised by markets, given the high degree of uncertainty. The meeting is also expected to be Powell’s penultimate. However, he noted that he would be willing to remain as Fed Chair on a temporary basis if Kevin Warsh is not confirmed by the Senate in time.

Europe & UK

In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) held its latest monetary policy meeting last week. As expected, the ECB left interest rates unchanged and delivered a broadly similar message to its counterparts in the United States and the United Kingdom. The ECB stated that it is well positioned to navigate the current uncertainty, noting that inflation across the euro area has remained stable.

In the United Kingdom, the Bank of England (BoE) also held interest rates at their current levels. Markets were surprised by the unanimous nature of the decision, which had not been anticipated and suggests that the BoE is now more hawkish than previously expected.

Ireland

As energy inflation continues to dominate markets, Power Capital, a Dublin-based solar farm developer, secured a €100 million loan from the European Investment Bank last week to fund the development of four new solar farms across Ireland. The projects will be located in Clare, Wicklow, Wexford and Tipperary, and are expected to provide enough electricity to power approximately 80,000 homes annually. This follows the connection of an additional 189 megawatts of renewable capacity to the national grid between January and February, further increasing the availability of alternative energy sources and helping to insulate against energy price volatility.

Asia-Pacific

In China, positive economic indicators were recorded for the first two months of 2026. Industrial production and retail sales both exceeded expectations over the combined January–February period. Industrial production rose by 6.3%, ahead of forecasts of 5.1%. Mining, manufacturing and utilities all experienced strong growth, with 35 of 41 major manufacturing industries reporting expansion. Meanwhile, retail sales increased by 2.8% over the same period, surpassing expectations and supported by strong consumer spending during the Lunar New Year holiday in mid-February.

In Japan, the Bank of Japan held interest rates at their current level of 0.75%, as policymakers continued to assess the full potential impact of the war in Iran on global inflation. Japan remains exposed to rising oil prices, given that it relies on the Middle East for approximately 95% of its oil imports. In response, the government last week introduced an emergency subsidy programme aimed at reducing energy costs.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, equity markets continued to be dominated by developments in the war in Iran. At the start of last week, sentiment was supported by optimism surrounding energy flows, following reports that Iran had allowed certain tankers to navigate the Strait of Hormuz. This helped to ease oil prices and lift broader equity markets. This trend continued into Tuesday, which was a relatively muted session despite ongoing conflict. However, sentiment shifted slightly on Wednesday after stronger-than-expected PPI data indicated that US factory gate prices had risen well above forecasts. This was compounded by the Fed’s hawkish stance, with rates held at current levels and projections indicating only one rate cut in 2026. Given the fluid economic backdrop, even this outlook remains uncertain. The pivotal moment of the week came with an Israeli strike on Iran’s South Pars gas field, the largest of its kind globally. This marked the first direct attack on major energy infrastructure, prompting retaliatory action by Iran targeting the Ras Laffan LNG facility in Qatar, the world’s largest LNG terminal. These developments drove gas and oil prices sharply higher, with oil reaching its highest level since the conflict began. As a result, equities fell on Thursday, reaching their lowest level since November 2025. For the week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed down 2.99% and 3.24%, respectively.

In corporate developments, Uber, the ride-hailing giant, announced plans to invest up to $1.25 billion in electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian. The agreement will see 10,000 autonomous R2 SUVs deployed across the United States. These robotaxis, which are expected to compete with Tesla and Google’s Waymo, will be exclusive to Uber and initially rolled out in San Francisco and Miami. Uber also retains the option to expand the fleet to 40,000 vehicles by 2030. Elsewhere, the impact of the war has forced traditional buyers of Middle Eastern energy products to seek alternative supply sources. Australia is expected to receive a record 200,000 metric tonnes of gasoline from the United States, with the majority supplied by ExxonMobil, which has reportedly booked three shipments from the US Gulf Coast. The United States remains the world’s largest crude oil producer, with output exceeding 13.5 million barrels per day, almost 4 million more than Russia, the next-largest producer.

In technology, NVIDIA held its annual GTC conference in San Jose. GTC 2026, widely regarded as one of the most important industry events globally, featured a series of major announcements spanning artificial intelligence, semiconductors and robotics. Among the key announcements was the Vera Rubin platform, a system comprising seven new chips and associated infrastructure designed to function as an AI supercomputer. Microsoft has already deployed one of these systems. NVIDIA also unveiled the Nemotron Coalition, a collaboration with AI firms including Mistral, Cursor and Perplexity, aimed at developing next-generation frontier models. In terms of partnerships, NVIDIA announced plans to launch robotaxis in collaboration with Uber across 28 markets by 2028. CEO Jensen Huang described autonomous driving as a potential multi-trillion-dollar industry, stating that its “ChatGPT moment” has arrived. While NVIDIA will provide the underlying platform, automotive manufacturers including BYD, Isuzu and Nissan are developing vehicles based on its technology. From a demand perspective, NVIDIA forecasts approximately $1 trillion in demand for its AI products through 2027, double its previous 2026 estimate. Technologically, the Vera Rubin platform is estimated to deliver around 40 million times the computing power of the DGX-1 system released in 2016, underscoring the rapid pace of advancement in AI hardware.

In Europe, equity markets declined further last week as the war in Iran weighed heavily on sentiment. The sharp rise in European gas and Brent crude oil prices placed additional pressure on markets, as inflation concerns intensified. The European Central Bank held rates as expected and, in line with the US and UK, highlighted the uncertainty created by the conflict. The Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX Europe 600 closed down 3.75% and 3.87%, respectively.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 also declined over the week. While rising oil prices supported energy majors such as BP and Shell, a broader sell-off in metals, driven by hawkish central bank signals, pushed the index close to the 10,000 level on Thursday. Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining led losses towards the end of the week as gold and silver prices fell sharply. Overall, the FTSE 100 closed the week down 3.57%.

In corporate developments, CRH, one of the world’s largest building materials companies, announced that it will fully delist from the London Stock Exchange. This follows its move to a primary listing in New York nearly three years ago and its earlier delisting from Ireland’s ISEQ. The company cited low trading volumes, along with regulatory and administrative burdens, as key reasons for the decision.

Bonds

Global bond yields moved higher last week, as cautious central bank sentiment across major economies pointed to limited interest rate changes in 2026. In the United States, the 10-year yield rose to as high as 4.39%, its highest level since August 2025, as the Federal Reserve held rates steady and markets assessed the potential inflationary impact of the war in Iran. Some pressure on yields was eased after initial jobless claims came in lower than expected at 205,000, representing a decline of 8,000. Meanwhile, in the UK, the 10-year yield almost hit 5%, the first time since 2008, following a unanimous decision by the Bank of England to hold interest rates at their current level and the potential for rate hikes in 2026.

Commodities

Oil prices rose to their joint highest level of the conflict last Thursday, after Israel and Iran both targeted energy infrastructure in the Gulf, the first time such actions have occurred during the war. Israel’s strike on South Pars, the largest gas field in the world, was quickly followed by a retaliatory strike on the Ras Laffan LNG facility, which caused extensive damage and is expected to take three to five years to fully repair. The site accounts for approximately 17% of the country’s LNG exports. The prospect of sustained attacks on key energy hubs pushed oil prices above $115 per barrel. However, prices were partially tempered by considerations of a further release from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. With the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, oil flows continue to be restricted, although reports indicated that six nations, including the UK, are willing to help secure the Strait once there is a meaningful de-escalation in hostilities.

In metals markets, gold and silver prices plummeted as central banks around the world delivered hawkish signals regarding interest rate policy. Gold fell by nearly 10%, while silver declined by approximately 16%, as expectations of higher inflation and interest rates reduced demand for non-interest-bearing assets.

MORE INSIGHTS