Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence (AI) Bond 4 matured on the 09th of February 2026, delivering an impressive gross return of 22.50% over 18 months — equivalent to 15.00% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 51 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39.8 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.35% over an average term of 22 months.
Creating Investment Solutions - We’re delighted to announce that the Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence (AI) Bond 4 matured on the 09th of February 2026, delivering an impressive gross return of 22.50% over 18 months — equivalent to 15.00% per annum. Click here for further details. Over the past five years, our 51 maturities have generated a total gross return of €39.8 million for our clients, achieving an average annual return of 11.35% over an average term of 22 months.

WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

Weekly Market Review: 16th March 2026

The Week in Numbers

Equity Markets

Equity IndicesValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
S&P 5006632.19-1.60%-3.12%
NASDAQ22,105.36-1.06%-4.89%
EuroStoxx505,716.51-0.04%+0.62%
EuroStoxx600595.85-0.47%-1.29%
FTSE 10010,261.15-0.23%+3.32%
ISEQ12,393.71-0.79%-5.39%

Central Bank Interest Rates

Interest RateCurrent RateDirectionRate Change
FED3.75%0
ECB2.15%0
BOE3.75%0

Government Bonds

Fixed IncomeYieldWeekly ChangeYTD Change
US 10YR4.28+3.70%+3.18%
US 2YR3.73+5.01%+7.64%
German 10YR2.976+3.93%+4.00%
UK 10YR4.82+4.01%+7.89%
Irish 10YR3.30+3.78%+9.04%

Foreign Exchange Currency Movements

FXValueWeekly ChangeYTD Change
EUR/USD1.141-1.16%-2.80%
EUR/GBP0.862-0.27%-1.00%
GBP/USD1.322-0.96%-1.86%

Key Events

  • 18/03/2026 – US Federal Reserve Rate Decision
  • 19/03/2026 – ECB Rate Decision
  • 19/03/2026 – UK BoE Rate Decision
Market Analysis: Oracle Earnings and the Historical Impact of US–Iran Conflicts
Finally, in our latest Seaspray Private Data Insight, we examine Oracle’s cloud growth alongside the historical market impact of US–Iran conflicts and what it may mean for investors. Oracle’s latest earnings report highlights the accelerating demand for cloud infrastructure and artificial intelligence, reinforcing the structural growth of the technology sector. At the same time, renewed tensions between the United States and Iran have introduced short-term volatility in global markets

Stay Informed with Our Seaspray Private Weekly Financial Market Review

Get the latest insights on global financial markets with our Weekly Market Review. In it we discuss the key financial headlines from the U.S, Europe, UK, Ireland, and Asia-Pacific, along with in-depth analysis of major asset classes, including:

Equities – U.S, Europe, and UK market trends
Bonds – Interest rate movements and fixed-income insights
Commodities – Oil, gold, and other key market drivers

Stay ahead of market trends with our expert insights. Read the latest update now!

FINANCIAL HEADLINES

United States

In the United States, inflation data for February was released last week, as inflationary concerns return amid the ongoing conflict involving Iran. The rate of inflation remained at 2.4%, unchanged from January. However, the release has been somewhat overshadowed by concerns about what the March figure may look like once energy price inflation related to the conflict is factored in.

The February rate was nevertheless in line with expectations, with inflation in used vehicles and food declining slightly. This was offset by increases in energy prices, although prices rose by only 0.5% in February. It is expected that this figure will be higher in March.

The conflict involving Iran will also have a significant bearing on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Although a rate cut is not expected at this meeting, markets will be analysing the language used by the Fed in its interest rate decision for signals regarding future inflation and interest rate movements. Expectations of interest rate cuts declined last week, with the CME FedWatch Tool now pricing in a 33% probability of a cut at the June meeting, down from nearly 50% a month earlier in February.

Europe & UK

In Europe, some of the largest companies in Germany are pushing for the government to develop a rare earths trading house to secure supplies of critical minerals and bypass China’s dominance on the sector. The proposal is to emulate Japan, which has a government department that provides equity, loans and guarantees to traders and mining projects.

In the United Kingdom, Revolut reached a significant milestone last week after being granted a full banking licence by the UK authorities. This means the fintech company can now offer UK customers current accounts. There are currently 13 million customers using the app in the UK, and the bank anticipates that it could take only a few months to move customers from their existing banks to Revolut.

Ireland

Ireland’s inflation rate remained at 2.7% in February, though the figure is expected to rise in the March data as the recent increase in energy prices feeds through. While higher fuel costs will contribute to this, food inflation, currently at 3.4%, may have a greater impact on Ireland’s overall price pressures. Elsewhere, Ireland has doubled its wind energy capacity in the last 10 years, with 8GW of installed capacity. This contributed to 50% of electricity coming from renewable sources in February, a new record.

Asia-Pacific

In China, despite downgrading its projected annual growth rate to its lowest level in over two decades, the country reported a surge in exports during the first two months of 2026. Between January and February, exports rose by 21.8% year-on-year in dollar terms, as a crucial meeting between President Xi Jinping and President Trump approaches. Overall, China’s trade surplus is projected to reach a record $213.6 billion for the first two months of the year, up 25% from the same period in 2024.

In Japan, the government signed a supply agreement with Lynas Rare Earths, the largest producer of rare earth minerals outside China, highlighting increasing efforts by countries to diversify supply chains away from China. Japan also released oil from its strategic reserves last week, reflecting its heavy reliance on Middle Eastern oil. The country currently holds reserves equivalent to 254 days of demand and plans to release 15 days’ worth of supply.

ASSET CLASS REVIEW

Equities

In the United States, the war in Iran continued to dominate market sentiment as it entered its second full week. On Monday, severe pressure was placed on equity markets as oil prices surged to their highest level since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022. However, despite the early-day pullback, markets rebounded later on Monday after President Trump announced that the military operation in Iran was nearing completion. This triggered a sharp fall in oil prices and a surge in equity markets. The rebound proved short-lived, however, with markets trading near the flatline on Tuesday before recording a modest decline on Wednesday. The latest inflation data did little to alleviate investor concerns, as attention quickly shifted to the March inflation figures, which will be crucial for both consumers and the Federal Reserve. After Iran struck Iraqi oil tankers on Wednesday night, markets dropped sharply on Thursday morning as oil prices surged once again. Concerns also grew over whether the war would end swiftly, as bombardments by both sides intensified as the week progressed. For the week, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ closed lower, falling 1.60% and 1.06%, respectively.

In earnings news, Oracle announced its latest results last week. The cloud provider reported strong quarterly revenues and earnings per share, with revenue rising 22% year-on-year to $17.2 billion. This marked the first time the company has posted revenue growth of more than 20% in 15 years. Crucially, the company’s cloud backlog — which indicates future revenue from bookings for its cloud services — reached $553 billion, increasing by $30 billion quarter-on-quarter.

In corporate developments, while much of the world focused on President Trump’s comments regarding Iran, he also made another announcement on Wednesday, outlining plans to build the first new oil refinery in the United States since 1977. The proposed refinery would be built in Brownsville, Texas, and according to President Trump, the project is backed by Reliance Industries, one of India’s largest energy groups. The project has been developed by America First Refining, a relatively unknown energy group. However, the group’s CEO stated that the company’s name does not relate to a political affiliation and that he is not a major Trump donor. The United States currently has 132 oil refineries, many of which lack the equipment to refine lighter crude from the Middle East and instead rely on oil imports from Venezuela and Canada. Elsewhere, AT&T plans to invest $250 billion over the next five years to expand network infrastructure across the United States as demand for data continues to grow. The investment will include expansion of fibre broadband and 5G networks.

In technology, NVIDIA was involved in three separate deals in the AI sector last week. The company announced a partnership with ABB Robotics aimed at producing a new generation of autonomous industrial robots. Under the agreement, ABB’s robot training software will be integrated with NVIDIA’s Omniverse simulation platform, enabling robots to be trained in virtual environments. Using AI, these robots will also be able to train themselves and improve performance without human input. These robots are currently used by Foxconn, the manufacturer of Apple’s iPhone. However, Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, has stated that robotics represents a “multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.” In addition, NVIDIA announced a $2 billion investment in AI cloud provider Nebius, enabling the company to build up to 5GW of NVIDIA-based cloud infrastructure by 2030. Finally, the world’s largest company announced a multibillion-dollar agreement with Thinking Machines Lab, a San Francisco-based start-up founded by former OpenAI Chief Technology Officer Mira Murati. Thinking Machines specialises in bespoke AI tools for corporate clients. Its main product, Tinker, enables companies to customise large language models used in AI software to suit their specific business needs without requiring large and complex training infrastructure. The agreement will see the company utilise at least one gigawatt of NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin chips over multiple years.

In Europe, markets continued to be dragged lower by the war in Iran. European shares fell to their lowest level since November 2025 on Monday, as inflation fears and the prospect of ECB rate hikes weighed on sentiment. However, following President Trump’s remarks on Monday night, EU indices rebounded on Tuesday as energy prices declined. The fall in energy prices particularly benefited companies in the industrial sector, with Siemens and Schneider Electric both gaining more than 4% on Tuesday alone. However, as the conflict intensified on Wednesday and Thursday, energy prices began to rise again and key indices once more traded in negative territory. For the week, the Euro Stoxx 50 and STOXX 600 closed lower, falling 0.04% and 0.47%, respectively.

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 also closed lower, broadly tracking global markets. While higher energy prices supported some of the index’s largest constituents, including Shell and BP, broader concerns about inflation and rising costs weighed on the wider market. The FTSE 100 fell 0.23% for the week.

Bonds

Global bond yields rose last week as expectations for interest rate cuts continued to recede following the escalation of the war in Iran. Higher energy prices have increased inflation concerns and reduced expectations for near-term monetary easing. In the United States, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.28%, its highest level in a month, as investors await remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later this week. In the United Kingdom, the 10-year gilt yield also remained elevated as markets increasingly price in the possibility of further Bank of England rate hikes.

Commodities

Oil prices fluctuated sharply last week in one of the most volatile five-day periods in recent history. Prices surged to close to $120 per barrel on Sunday as Iran intensified efforts to block the Strait of Hormuz. However, following President Trump’s press conference on Monday evening, prices fell below $85 per barrel as hopes of a swift end to the conflict weighed on markets. Prices rose again on Thursday after Iran struck oil tankers in Basra, Iraq, pushing oil close to $100 per barrel, and its new Ayatollah Khamenei reaffirmed that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed. At the same time, the International Energy Agency (IEA) announced a historic 400 million-barrel release from the emergency reserves of its member states. Of the 400 million barrels, the United States will release 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This marks only the fifth time since the IEA was founded in the early 1970s that member states’ strategic reserves have been tapped. Over the weekend, the US also launched strikes on military installations on Kharg Island. This obscure island in the Persian Gulf, which is only 20 square kilometers in size, contains Iran’s largest oil terminal, and exports around 90% of Iran’s oil shipments. This makes it one of the key pieces of energy infrastructure utilised by the country. President Trump threatened to target the island energy facilities if Iran did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while France has opted to explore alternative ways of reopening the Strait without using force by attempting to negotiate with the Iranian leadership.

In metals markets, gold and silver remained relatively subdued despite the geopolitical backdrop. Gold traded between $5,050 and $5,225 per ounce, while silver settled near $80 per ounce, as both metals appeared somewhat detached from traditional safe-haven assets such as the US dollar.

MORE INSIGHTS